AFL 2023 Round 22 – Betting tips & Predictions

Table topping Collingwood continued to falter in AFL game week 22, losing to Hawthorn, proof if ever it was needed that anything can happen when it comes to AFL betting.

Elsewhere, Melbourne and Carlton are both gathering speed and finding form, but they face off this weekend, whilst Port Adelaide are hoping to cling on to their top 4 position.

With so much to play for at both ends of the table, there are plenty of good bets and odds to be had with the major AFL betting apps and it promises to be another superb weekend of AFL action.

Collingwood will be eager to get back to winning ways as they host Geelong. It has been a tough couple of weeks for the Magpies, but they will want to forget about them and kick on between now and the end of the season.

Geelong meanwhile are still in the mix for a playoff spot, residing in 9th but their inconsistencies have hampered them at times this season and they do find it tougher on the road.

This should be a really good game and whilst Geelong will trouble Collingwood, the hosts should get over the line here.

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Total Points – Over 164.5	$1.91
	Winning Margin: Collingwood 13-24	$6.50
	Collingwood to win the matc	$1.81

Predicted Squads

Collingwood: Ashley Johnson, Bobby Hill, Brayden Maynard, Brody Mihocek, Darcy Cameron, Darcy Moore, Harvey Harrison, Isaac Quaynor, Jack Crisp, Jamie Elliott, Jeremy Howe, John Noble, Josh Daicos, Mason Cox, Nathan Murphy, Nick Daicos, Oleg Markov, Patrick Lipinski, Scott Pendlebury, Taylor Adams, Tom Mitchell, W. Hoskin-Elliott.

Geelong: Bradley Close, Gary Rohan, Isaac Smith, Jack Bowes, Jack Henry, Jake Kolodjashnij, Jed Bews, Jeremy Cameron, Max Holmes, Mitch Duncan, Sam De Koning, Tom Atkins, Tom Hawkins, Tom Stewart, Tyson Stengle, Zach Guthrie, Zach Tuohy.

Two sides needing to win for different reasons face off, as North Melbourne host Essendon. Two wins from a bleak campaign isn’t the return North Melbourne and their fans were looking for and they desperately need to address their lack of form sooner rather than later.
Essendon meanwhile did edge out the West Coast Eagles last weekend, but they have dropped out of the playoff picture currently and they find themselves languishing down in 12th in the AFL table.
This doesn’t look set to be a classic, but Essendon should get the job done. 

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Peter Wright – First Goal Scorer	$7.00
	Essendon to win the match.	$1.30
	Total Points – Over 168.5	$1.85

Predicted Squads

North Melbourne: Aidan Corr, Bailey Scott, Ben McKay, C. Coleman-Jones, Cameron Zurhaar, Eddie Ford, George Wardlaw, Griffin Logue, Harry Sheezel, Hugh Greenwood, Jack Ziebell, Jaidyn Stephenson, Jy Simpkin, Liam Shiels, Luke McDonald, Nick Larkey, Paul Curtis, Phoenix Spicer, Tarryn Thomas, Todd Goldstein, Tom Powell, Will Phillips.

Essendon: Andrew McGrath, Andrew Phillips, Archie Perkins, Ben Hobbs, B. Zerk-Thatcher, Darcy Parish, Dyson Heppell, Jake Kelly, Jake Stringer, Jayden Laverde, Jordan Ridley, Jye Caldwell, Kyle Langford, Mason Redman, Matt Guelfi, Nic Martin, Nick Bryan, Peter Wright, Sam Durham, Sam Weideman, Will Snelling, Zach Merrett.

Another pair of sides with their playoff status out of their own hands is Sydney and Gold Coast, who face off at the SCG.

The Sydney Swans have improved markedly over the past few weeks, winning their last 4 fixtures to make a statement with many small betting sites. Sydney are still in the mix for a playoff spot but need to win games such as these. For Gold Coast, the playoff landscape looks even more distant, but they will be eager to finish the campaign as strongly as possible.

There should be plenty of points out there in this one, with Sydney most likely to get the job done. 

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Total Points – Over 166.5	$1.89
	Winning Margin: Sydney 13-24	$5.50
	Syndey to win the match	$1.36

Predicted Squads

Sydney: Braeden Campbell, Callum Mills, Dane Rampe, Errol Gulden, Harry Cunningham, Hayden McLean, Isaac Heeney, Jake Lloyd, James Rowbottom, Joel Amartey, Lewis Melican, Logan McDonald, Nick Blakey, Oliver Florent, Robbie Fox, Ryan Clarke, Tom Papley.

Gold Coast: Bailey Humphrey, Ben Ainsworth, Ben King, Ben Long, Brandon Ellis, Brayden Fiorini, Charlie Ballard, Darcy MacPherson, David Swallow, Hewego Paul Oea, Jack Lukosius, Jarrod Witts, Lachie Weller, Levi Casboult, Mac Andrew, Malcolm Rosas, Matthew Rowell, Nick Holman, Noah Anderson, Sam Collins, Sam Flanders, Wil Powell.

Brisbane host Adelaide, with the Lions doing all they can to secure their top 4 spot as quickly as possible.

It has been an excellent campaign for Brisbane, who sit 3rd in the table and finishing inside that top quadrant would give them a favourable playoff draw.

Adelaide meanwhile lie 11th and with 3 wins and 3 losses from their last 6 games, inconsistency has blighted their season throughout.

This will be tighter than the odds suggest but Brisbane are a high scoring side who should get over the line here

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Total Points – Over 178.5	$1.85
	Winning Margin: Brisbane 13-24	$6.00
	Brisbane to win the match	$1.33

Predicted Squads

Brisbane: Brandon Starcevich, Cameron Rayner, Charlie Cameron, Conor McKenna, Darcy Wilmot, Deven Robertson, Eric Hipwood, Harris Andrews, Hugh McCluggage, Jack Payne, Jarrod Berry, Joe Daniher, Josh Dunkley, Lachie Neale, Lincoln McCarthy, Oscar McInerney, Ryan Lester, Zac Bailey.

Adelaide: Ben Keays, Brodie Smith, Chayce Jones, Darcy Fogarty, Izak Rankine, Jake Soligo, Jordan Dawson, Jordon Butts, Josh Rachele, Josh Worrell, Lachlan Murphy, Lachlan Sholl, Luke Pedlar, Max Michalanney, Mitchell Hinge, Nick Murray, Reilly O'Brien, Riley Thilthorpe, Rory Laird, Rory Sloane, Taylor Walker, Wayne Milera.

The headline fixture on another chaotic weekend of AFL action is Carlton vs Melbourne. No side looks capable of stopping Carlton currently, with 7 consecutive wins under their belt and they have moved up to 5th place in the AFL table as a result.

Melbourne meanwhile sit 2nd in the table, enjoying a hefty winning run of their own and they will be doing all they can to cling on to their top 4 spot.

This should be an absolute belter, between two sides with no love lost but Carlton should ultimately get the job done in this one. 

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Carlton to win the match	$2.20
	Total Points – Over 165.5	$1.85
	Winning Margin: Carlton 1-12	$5.50

Predicted Squads

Carlton: Adam Cerra, Adam Saad, Alex Cincotta, Blake Acres, Brodie Kemp, Charlie Curnow, David Cuningham, Harry McKay, Jack Martin, Jacob Weitering, Jordan Boyd, Lachie Fogarty, Marc Pittonet, Matthew Cottrell, Matthew Kennedy, Matthew Owies, Mitch McGovern, Nic Newman, Paddy Dow, Patrick Cripps, Sam Docherty, Sam Walsh, Tom De Koning.

Melbourne: Alex Neal-Bullen, Angus Brayshaw, Bayley Fritsch, Brodie Grundy, Christian Petracca, Christian Salem, Ed Langdon, Harrison Petty, Jack Viney, Jacob Van Rooyen, Jake Lever, James Jordon, Joel Smith, Judd McVee, Kade Chandler, Kysaiah Pickett, Lachie Hunter, Max Gawn, Michael Hibberd, Steven May, Tom Sparrow, Trent Rivers.

The West Coast Derby is always a classic and once again in 2023, it has plenty of AFL betting sites purring.

Basement dwellers West Coast have just 2 wins to their name this season but there are signs that things are beginning to improve at the Eagles this term.

Fremantle meanwhile have huffed and puffed this season, without necessarily getting the rewards and their playoff bid looks to have petered out somewhat.

This should be a good one, with plenty on the line and West Coast could spring a serious surprise here. 

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	West Coast to win the match	$4.50
	Winning Margin: West Coast 1-12	$8.50
	Total Points – Under 173.5	$1.85

Predicted Squads

West Coast: Alex Witherden, Andrew Gaff, Bailey J. Williams, Brady Hough, Dom Sheed, Elijah Hewett, Elliot Yeo, Jack Darling, Jack Petruccelle, Jack Williams, Jayden Hunt, Liam Duggan, Luke Edwards, Luke Shuey, Noah Long, Oscar Allen, Reuben Ginbey, Rhett Bazzo, Ryan Maric, S. Petrevski-Seton, Thomas Barrass, Tim Kelly

Fremantle: Alex Pearce, Andrew Brayshaw, Brandon Walker, Brennan Cox, Caleb Serong, Ethan Hughes, Hayden Young, Jaeger O'Meara, Jordan Clark, Josh Treacy, Jye Amiss, Lachlan Schultz, Liam Henry, Luke Jackson, Luke Ryan, Matthew Johnson, Michael Walters, Michael Frederick, Nat Fyfe, Neil Erasmus, Sam Switkowski, Sean Darcy.

Having overcome Collingwood last weekend, Hawthorn will be chasing another major scalp as they take on the Western Bulldogs.

The Hawks were good value for their win against Collingwood and whilst they won’t make the playoffs, they will want to finish the season as strongly as possible.

Meanwhile, the Western Bulldogs are moving along steadily, and they have their playoff destiny very much in their own hands, sat in 6th with 3 games to play.

Hawthorn will be up for this, but the Western Bulldogs should have too much in the tank.

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Western Bulldogs to win the match	$1.50
	Total Points – Over 173.5	$1.83
	Mitch Lewis First Goal Scorer	$8.00

Predicted Squads

Hawthorn: Blake Hardwick, Cameron Mackenzie, Connor MacDonald, Conor Nash, Dylan Moore, Jack Scrimshaw, Jacob Koschitzke, Jai Newcombe, James Blanck, James Worpel, Jarman Impey, Josh Weddle, Karl Amon, Lachie Bramble, Lloyd Meek, Luke Breust, Mitchell Lewis, Ned Reeves, Sam Frost, Seamus Mitchell, Tyler Brockman, Will Day.

Western Bulldogs: Aaron Naughton, Adam Treloar, Alex Keath, Anthony Scott, Bailey Dale, Bailey Smith, Bailey Williams, Caleb Daniel, Cody Weightman, Jack Macrae, Jamarra Ugle-Hagan, Laitham Vandermeer, Liam Jones, Marcus Bontempelli, Mitch Hannan, Oskar Baker, Rhylee West, Rory Lobb, Taylor Duryea, Tim English, Tim O'Brien, Tom Liberatore.

Two more sides with work to do if they are to penetrate the playoff picture do battle, as St Kilda take on Richmond.

Things have taken a turn for the worse at St Kilda in recent weeks and they have slipped out of the top 8, losing form at the worst possible time.

Richmond meanwhile are a side that just cannot seem to generate any consistency and they too have a mountain to climb if they are to finish inside the top 8.

Calling this one is tough, with neither side in great nick but perhaps St Kilda will just be able to get over the line. 

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	St Kilda to win the match	$1.80
	Total Points – Under 173.5	$1.91
	Winning Margin: St Kilda 1-12	$5.50

Predicted Squads

St Kilda: Anthony Caminiti, Ben Paton, Brad Crouch, Bradley Hill, Callum Wilkie, Dan Butler, Dougal Howard, Jack Higgins, Jack Sinclair, Jack Steele, Jade Gresham, Jimmy Webster, Josh Battle, Liam Stocker, Marcus Windhager, Mason Wood, Mattaes Phillipou, Max King, Mitchito Owens, N. Wanganeen-Milera, Rowan Marshall, Ryan Byrnes.

Richmond: Daniel Rioli, Dustin Martin, Dylan Grimes, Hugo Ralphsmith, Jack Graham, Jack Riewoldt, Jack Ross, Jayden Short, Judson Clarke, Kamdyn McIntosh, Liam Baker, Nathan Broad, Nick Vlastuin, Noah Balta, Samson Ryan, Tim Taranto, Toby Nankervis, Trent Cotchin.

The final game of the round pits two playoff chasing sides against each other in Port Adelaide and the GWS Giants.

Port Adelaide have lost their last 3, seeing them slip down to 4th in the AFL table but they still have their top 4 destiny very much in their own hands and plenty of quality in their ranks.

The GWS Giants meanwhile, had won their last 7 before losing out to local rivals Sydney last weekend, a defeat they will want to bounce back from very quickly.

There is very little between these sides, both on paper and on the oval but it could be the home advantage that gets the Port Adelaide Suns over the line here.

Bookmaker	Sam’s Tip	Odds
	Port Adelaide to win the match	$1.40
	Total Points – Over 169.5	$1.89
	Toby Greene First Goal Scorer	$6.50

Predicted Squads

Port Adelaide: Aliir Aliir, Charlie Dixon, Connor Rozee, Dan Houston, Darcy Byrne-Jones, Dylan Williams, J. Horne-Francis, Jed McEntee, Jeremy Finlayson, Josh Sinn, Kane Farrell, Miles Bergman, Ollie Wines, Quinton Narkle, Ryan Burton, Sam Powell-Pepper, Scott Lycett, Todd Marshall, Travis Boak, Trent McKenzie, Willem Drew, Zak Butters.

Greater Western Sydney: Aaron Cadman, Callan Ward, Callum M Brown, Connor Idun, Daniel Lloyd, Finn Callaghan, H. Himmelberg, Harry Perryman, Jack Buckley, Jake Riccardi, Josh Kelly, Kieren Briggs, Lachie Ash, Lachie Whitfield, Lachlan Keeffe, Nick Haynes, Sam Taylor, Stephen Coniglio, Toby Bedford, Toby Greene, Tom Green, Xavier O'Halloran.

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