AFL 2024 Round 1 – Betting tips & Predictions

Sam Hayes.jfif
Sam Hayes
AFL News, Predictions & Tips
AFL 2024 Round 1
AFL 2024 Round 1

Gauging where each team is going into the beginning of any AFL season is never easy and there are a whole host of sides chasing early season points, in what should be a fascinating opening round for all punters and AFL betting sites

Defending champions Collingwood will be out to get their campaign off to a flyer, as will the likes of Brisbane, Port Adelaide, and Melbourne, in what will be a pulsating first round of fixtures.

Round 1 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Carlton vs RichmondMarvel Stadium, 14th March, 19:30$1.42$3.5
Collingwood vs SydneyMCG, 15th March, 19:40$1.55$2.63
Essendon vs HawthornMarvel Stadium, 16th March, 13:45$1.78$2.25
GWS Giants vs North MelbourneGiants Stadium, 16th March, 16:35$1.07$10
Geelong vs St KildaGMHBA, 16th March, 19:30$1.54$2.65
Gold Coast vs AdelaideHeritage Bank Stadium, 16th March, 20:10$1.73$2.3
Melbourne vs Western BulldogsMCG, 17th March, 13:10$1.67$2.33
Port Adelaide vs West CoastAdelaide Oval, 17th March, 16:20$1.07$10
Fremantle vs BrisbaneOptus Stadium, 17th March, 18:40$2.75$1.5

Carlton vs Richmond

Carlton continued their momentum from the 2023 campaign last week, with a dramatic comeback win over Brisbane and they will want to continue that momentum here against Richmond. The blues were hugely impressive at times last year and look to be amongst the favourites to go all the way this season with many AFL betting sites. Meanwhile, Richmond have work to do this year, if they are to crack the top 8 but they have plenty of big names in the ranks, who will all be out to put on a show here. This will be tight, but Carlton are strong at home, and they should prevail here.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetTotal Points – Over 161.5$1.75
Bet365Winning Margin: Carlton 1-12$5.5
UnibetCarlton to win the match$1.42

Predicted Squads

Carlton Blues AFLCarlton: Adam Cerra, Adam Saad, Alex Cincotta, Blake Acres, Brodie Kemp, Charlie Curnow, David Cuningham, Harry McKay, Jack Martin, Jacob Weitering, Jordan Boyd, Lachie Fogarty, Marc Pittonet, Matthew Cottrell, Matthew Kennedy, Matthew Owies, Mitch McGovern, Nic Newman, Paddy Dow, Patrick Cripps, Sam Docherty, Sam Walsh, Tom De Koning

Richmond Tigers AFLRichmond: Daniel Rioli, Dustin Martin, Dylan Grimes, Hugo Ralphsmith, Jack Graham, Jack Riewoldt, Jack Ross, Jayden Short, Judson Clarke, Kamdyn McIntosh, Liam Baker, Nathan Broad, Nick Vlastuin, Noah Balta, Samson Ryan, Tim Taranto, Toby Nankervis, Trent Cotchin.

Collingwood vs Sydney

Two of the very best in the AFL go at it here at the MCG, as champions Collingwood take on Sydney in what should be a spectacular curtain raiser. The Magpies were way too good for the chasing pack last season, and they will want to start thinking about creating an AFL legacy over the next couple of years. Sydney, however, will be one of the sides out to stop them from doing that and how they would love to rain on the parade here. Collingwood is a tough nut to crack at home though, and they should pick up an important home win to kick start their campaign here.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetBrody Mihocek – First Goal Scorer$10
Bet365Collingwood to win the match$1.55
UnibetTotal Points – Over 169.5$1.91

Predicted Squads

Collingwood Magpies AFLCollingwood: Ashley Johnson, Bobby Hill, Brayden Maynard, Brody Mihocek, Darcy Cameron, Darcy Moore, Harvey Harrison, Isaac Quaynor, Jack Crisp, Jamie Elliott, Jeremy Howe, John Noble, Josh Daicos, Mason Cox, Nathan Murphy, Oleg Markov, Patrick Lipinski, Scott Pendlebury, Taylor Adams, Tom Mitchell, W. Hoskin-Elliott.

Sydney Swans AFLSydney: Braeden Campbell, Callum Mills, Dane Rampe, Errol Gulden, Harry Cunningham, Hayden McLean, Isaac Heeney, Jake Lloyd, James Rowbottom, Joel Amartey, Lewis Melican, Logan McDonald, Nick Blakey, Oliver Florent, Robbie Fox, Ryan Clarke, Tom Papley.

Essendon vs Hawthorn

Two teams that didn’t enjoy hugely successful campaigns last year face off here, as Hawthorn travel to Essendon. Both sides possess plenty of AFL history however and they will be touted by big and  small betting sites alike to have more successful campaigns in 2024. Ascertaining exactly where each side is ahead of this one is tough and there will be no love lost here but Essendon should be able to pick up a confidence boosting win at home here.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetTotal Points – Under 173.5$1.85
Bet365Winning Margin: Essendon 1-12$6
UnibetEssendon to win the match$1.78

Predicted Squads

Essendon AFLEssendon: Andrew McGrath, Andrew Phillips, Archie Perkins, Ben Hobbs, B. Zerk-Thatcher, Darcy Parish, Dyson Heppell, Jake Kelly, Jake Stringer, Jayden Laverde, Jordan Ridley, Jye Caldwell, Kyle Langford, Mason Redman, Matt Guelfi, Nic Martin, Nick Bryan, Peter Wright, Sam Durham, Sam Weideman, Will Snelling, Zach Merrett.

Hawthorn AFLHawthorn: Blake Hardwick, Cameron Mackenzie, Connor MacDonald, Conor Nash, Dylan Moore, Jack Scrimshaw, Jacob Koschitzke, Jai Newcombe, James Blanck, James Worpel, Jarman Impey, Josh Weddle, Karl Amon, Lachie Bramble, Lloyd Meek, Luke Breust, Mitchell Lewis, Ned Reeves, Sam Frost, Seamus Mitchell, Tyler Brockman, Will Day.

GWS Giants vs North Melbourne

Momentum looks to be gathering behind the GWS Giants this season, who are being tipped to go all the way with many AFL betting sites and they take on a North Melbourne side that look to be in the wooden spoon shake up. The GWS Giants have enjoyed an impressive pre-season and look to have the playing staff to compete at the very highest level this season. Meanwhile, North Melbourne endured an awful year in 2023 and they will just want to get out there and let their football do the talking. The GWS Giants are a good side, and they should come out on top here.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetTotal Points – Over 171.5$1.85
Bet365Winning Margin: GWS Giants 13-24$7
UnibetGWS Giants to win the match$1.07

Predicted Squads

GWS Giants AFLGreater Western Sydney: Aaron Cadman, Callan Ward, Callum M Brown, Connor Idun, Daniel Lloyd, Finn Callaghan, H. Himmelberg, Harry Perryman, Jack Buckley, Jake Riccardi, Josh Kelly, Kieren Briggs, Lachie Ash, Lachie Whitfield, Lachlan Keeffe, Nick Haynes, Sam Taylor, Stephen Coniglio, Toby Bedford, Toby Greene, Tom Green, Xavier O'Halloran.

North Melbourne AFLNorth Melbourne: Aidan Corr, Bailey Scott, Ben McKay, C. Coleman-Jones, Cameron Zurhaar, Eddie Ford, George Wardlaw, Griffin Logue, Harry Sheezel, Hugh Greenwood, Jack Ziebell, Jaidyn Stephenson, Jy Simpkin, Liam Shiels, Luke McDonald, Nick Larkey, Paul Curtis, Phoenix Spicer, Tarryn Thomas, Todd Goldstein, Tom Powell, Will Phillips.

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Geelong vs St Kilda

Two sides with serious playoff aspirations meet here at GMHBA, as Geelong take on St Kilda in their season opener. Both sides pushed hard for a top 8 spot last season, ultimately coming up short and they will see rectifying that as their key objective this term. Geelong have recruited in the off season and look to have a strong roster, whilst St Kilda are always a tough side to beat. Picking a winner here is not easy but Geelong are a good side, who should just about have enough to claim a home win.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetGeelong to win the match$1.54
Bet365Total Points – Over 165.5$1.91
UnibetWinning Margin: Geelong 1-12$5.50

Predicted Squads

Geelong Cats AFLGeelong: Bradley Close, Gary Rohan, Isaac Smith, Jack Bowes, Jack Henry, Jake Kolodjashnij, Jed Bews, Jeremy Cameron, Max Holmes, Mitch Duncan, Sam De Koning, Tom Atkins, Tom Hawkins, Tom Stewart, Tyson Stengle, Zach Guthrie, Zach Tuohy.

St Kilda AFLSt Kilda: Anthony Caminiti, Ben Paton, Brad Crouch, Bradley Hill, Callum Wilkie, Dan Butler, Dougal Howard, Jack Higgins, Jack Sinclair, Jack Steele, Jade Gresham, Jimmy Webster, Josh Battle, Liam Stocker, Marcus Windhager, Mason Wood, Mattaes Phillipou, Max King, Mitchito Owens, N. Wanganeen-Milera, Rowan Marshall, Ryan Byrnes.

Gold Coast vs Adelaide

Breaking the top 8 last season was a big deal for Gold Coast and they have been one of the leading lights so far in 2024 too. A clash with Adelaide awaits next, with neither side necessarily chomping at the bit to get going but both have been touted as sides that could be in the playoff mix with many AFL betting sites. Getting minutes in the legs last weekend and a win could prove decisive for Gold Coast here, who could turn out to be a surprise package this term.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetGold Coast to win the match$1.73
Bet365Winning Margin: Gold Coast 1-12$6.5
UnibetTotal Points – Over 169.5$1.85

Predicted Squads

Gold Coast Suns AFLGold Coast: Bailey Humphrey, Ben Ainsworth, Ben King, Ben Long, Brandon Ellis, Brayden Fiorini, Charlie Ballard, Darcy MacPherson, David Swallow, Hewego Paul Oea, Jack Lukosius, Jarrod Witts, Lachie Weller, Levi Casboult, Mac Andrew, Malcolm Rosas, Matthew Rowell, Nick Holman, Noah Anderson, Sam Collins, Sam Flanders, Wil Powell.

Adelaide Crows AFLAdelaide: Ben Keays, Brodie Smith, Chayce Jones, Darcy Fogarty, Izak Rankine, Jake Soligo, Jordan Dawson, Jordon Butts, Josh Rachele, Josh Worrell, Lachlan Murphy, Lachlan Sholl, Luke Pedlar, Max Michalanney, Mitchell Hinge, Nick Murray, Reilly O'Brien, Riley Thilthorpe, Rory Laird, Rory Sloane, Taylor Walker, Wayne Milera.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs

Getting back to winning ways will be the key objective for Melbourne, who didn’t look at the races in their opening fixture and they will want to bounce back against the Western Bulldogs. For the visitors, this looks to be a complete free hit in their first game, and they will believe that they have enough to break into the playoff mix this season. However, Melbourne are tough to beat at home and the Demons should pick up their first win of 2024 in front of their home fans here.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetMelbourne to win the match$1.67
Bet365Total Points – Over 167.5$1.80
UnibetBayley Fritsch First Goal Scorer$9

Predicted Squads

Melbourne Demons AFLMelbourne: Alex Neal-Bullen, Angus Brayshaw, Bayley Fritsch, Brodie Grundy, Christian Petracca, Christian Salem, Ed Langdon, Harrison Petty, Jack Viney, Jacob Van Rooyen, Jake Lever, James Jordon, Joel Smith, Judd McVee, Kade Chandler, Kysaiah Pickett, Lachie Hunter, Max Gawn, Michael Hibberd, Steven May, Tom Sparrow, Trent Rivers.

Western Bulldogs AFLWestern Bulldogs: Aaron Naughton, Adam Treloar, Alex Keath, Anthony Scott, Bailey Dale, Bailey Smith, Bailey Williams, Caleb Daniel, Cody Weightman, Jack Macrae, Jamarra Ugle-Hagan, Laitham Vandermeer, Liam Jones, Marcus Bontempelli, Mitch Hannan, Oskar Baker, Rhylee West, Rory Lobb, Taylor Duryea, Tim English, Tim O'Brien, Tom Liberatore.

Port Adelaide vs West Coast

Two sides that had very differing campaigns in 2023 face off here, as Port Adelaide welcome the West Coast Eagles to the Oval. Port Adelaide ultimately fell away a little last season but pushed Collingwood all the way and they will be looking to learn from that experience and kick on in 2024. Meanwhile the West Coast Eagles were in wooden spoon strife for much of 2023 and plenty of changes in the group should bring about a change in fortunes.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetPort Adelaide to win the match$1.07
Bet365Total Points – Over 169.5$1.80
UnibetCharlie Dixon First Goal Scorer$9

Predicted Squads

Port Adelaide Power AFLPort Adelaide: Aliir Aliir, Charlie Dixon, Connor Rozee, Dan Houston, Darcy Byrne-Jones, Dylan Williams, J. Horne-Francis, Jed McEntee, Jeremy Finlayson, Josh Sinn, Kane Farrell, Miles Bergman, Ollie Wines, Quinton Narkle, Ryan Burton, Sam Powell-Pepper, Scott Lycett, Todd Marshall, Travis Boak, Trent McKenzie, Willem Drew, Zak Butters.

West Coast Eagles AFLWest Coast: Alex Witherden, Andrew Gaff, Bailey J. Williams, Brady Hough, Dom Sheed, Elijah Hewett, Elliot Yeo, Jack Darling, Jack Petruccelle, Jack Williams, Jayden Hunt, Liam Duggan, Luke Edwards, Luke Shuey, Noah Long, Oscar Allen, Reuben Ginbey, Rhett Bazzo, Ryan Maric, S. Petrevski-Seton, Thomas Barrass, Tim Kelly.

Fremantle vs Brisbane

A chastening defeat to Carlton last weekend will still be ringing in the ears for Brisbane and they know they need to bounce back, as they take on old foes Fremantle. The hosts endured a drab campaign in 2023 and they will feel that if they can gather momentum early on, that a playoff push is a realistic aim for them in 2024. Meanwhile, Brisbane are a very strong side, who shouldn’t be deterred by their comeback defeat, and they will look to play on the front foot here. This should be closer than the odds suggest but Brisbane look primed for a win on the road here.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
MidasBetBrisbane to win the match$1.5
Bet365Total Points – Over 166.5$1.9
UnibetWinning Margin: Brisbane 1-12$6.5

Predicted Squads

Fremantle Dockers AFLFremantle: Alex Pearce, Andrew Brayshaw, Brandon Walker, Brennan Cox, Caleb Serong, Ethan Hughes, Hayden Young, Jaeger O'Meara, Jordan Clark, Josh Treacy, Jye Amiss, Lachlan Schultz, Liam Henry, Luke Jackson, Luke Ryan, Matthew Johnson, Michael Walters, Michael Frederick, Nat Fyfe, Neil Erasmus, Sam Switkowski, Sean Darcy.

Brisbane Lions AFLBrisbane: Brandon Starcevich, Cameron Rayner, Charlie Cameron, Conor McKenna , Darcy Wilmot, Deven Robertson, Eric Hipwood, Harris Andrews, Hugh McCluggage, Jack Payne, Jarrod Berry, Joe Daniher, Josh Dunkley, Lachie Neale, Lincoln McCarthy, Oscar McInerney, Ryan Lester, Zac Bailey.

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