AFL 2023 Round 16 – Betting tips & Predictions

AFL 2023 Round 1
AFL 2023 Round 16

As the regular AFL season approaches its final third, attention naturally turns to the sides at the top of the table.

Both Port Adelaide and Collingwood have been jostling for supremacy at the top of the AFL table in recent weeks and both sides face tricky looking away trips in game week 16.

Elsewhere, Brisbane and Melbourne will also be looking to keep pace, with home games against Fremantle and GWS respectively, whilst West Coast Eagles will be looking to climb away from wooden spoon territory.

Round 16 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Brisbane vs RichmondThe Gabba, 29th June, 19:20$1.30$3.55
Sydney vs GeelongSCG, 30th June, 19:50$2.02$1.84
Adelaide vs North MelbourneAdelaide Oval, 1st July, 11:45$1.11$8.00
Western Bulldogs vs FremantleMarvel Stadium, 1st July, 11:45$1.44$2.90
Gold Coast vs CollingwoodMetricon Stadium, 1st July, 16:35$2.62$1.55
Essendon vs Port AdelaideMCG, 1st July, 19:25$2.60$1.53
Hawthorn vs CarltonMCG, 2nd July, 13:10$3.10$1.40
Melbourne vs Greater Western SydneyTIO Oval 2, 2nd July, 15:20$1.29$3.75
West Coast vs St KildaOptus Stadium, 2nd July, 16:40$11.00$1.06

Brisbane vs Richmond

Brisbane have been back to their free flowing best in the last couple of games and they will be eager to keep that form going as they host Richmond.

Defeats to Adelaide and Hawthorn at the start of the month saw them fall off the pace a little but emphatic wins over Sydney and St Kilda should give them a boost.

Richmond meanwhile are also in good nick; having won their last three games and they will be eager to put a run of form together and climb away from mid-table obscurity.

This should be an entertaining one, with both sides looking to play on the front foot, with the home advantage likely to be telling for Brisbane at the Gabba.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Total Points – Over 171.5$1.79
Bet365 LogoBrisbane @ 
Unibet LogoBrisbane to be winning at HT and FT$1.67

Predicted Squads

Brisbane LionsBrisbane: Brandon Starcevich, Cameron Rayner, Charlie Cameron, Conor McKenna, Darcy Wilmot, Deven Robertson, Eric Hipwood, Harris Andrews, Hugh McCluggage, Jack Payne, Jarrod Berry, Joe Daniher, Josh Dunkley, Lachie Neale, Lincoln McCarthy, Oscar McInerney, Ryan Lester, Zac Bailey.

Richmond TigersRichmond: Daniel Rioli, Dustin Martin, Dylan Grimes, Hugo Ralphsmith, Jack Graham, Jack Riewoldt, Jack Ross, Jayden Short, Judson Clarke, Kamdyn McIntosh, Liam Baker, Nathan Broad, Nick Vlastuin, Noah Balta, Samson Ryan, Tim Taranto, Toby Nankervis, Trent Cotchin.

Sydney vs Geelong

Two sides locked in the mid-table battle face off at the SCG as Sydney host Geelong, with both sides eager to pick up a win.

Sydney have been showing serious signs of improvement in recent weeks and a play-off push will be very much on their agenda as the season draws to its climax.

Geelong meanwhile just cannot seem to find the consistency needed to maintain a serious push at the top of the tree but their win over Melbourne last time out was impressive.

Picking a winner here is a tricky one but Sydney are decent at home, and they could do with the points.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Tom Hawkins – First Goal scorer$7.50
Bet365 LogoSydney to win the match.$2.02
Unibet LogoTotal Points – Over 165.5$1.90

Predicted Squads

Sydney SwansSydney: Braeden Campbell, Callum Mills, Dane Rampe, Errol Gulden, Harry Cunningham, Hayden McLean, Isaac Heeney, Jake Lloyd, James Rowbottom, Joel Amartey, Lewis Melican, Logan McDonald, Nick Blakey, Oliver Florent, Robbie Fox, Ryan Clarke, Tom Papley

Geelong CatsGeelong: Bradley Close, Gary Rohan, Isaac Smith, Jack Bowes, Jack Henry, Jake Kolodjashnij, Jed Bews, Jeremy Cameron, Max Holmes, Mitch Duncan, Sam De Koning, Tom Atkins, Tom Hawkins, Tom Stewart, Tyson Stengle, Zach Guthrie, Zach Tuohy.

Adelaide vs North Melbourne

Adelaide will be looking to heap pressure on the sides above them, as they host a struggling North Melbourne side at the Adelaide Oval.

Hosts Adelaide find themselves in 8th place in the AFL table, but they will be all too aware that a couple of good results could boost them up into play-off contention.

North Melbourne meanwhile have really struggled this season, winning just two of their 14 games played and they have been well off the pace for much of the campaign.

This one looks likely to be one-way traffic, but Adelaide will need to warn against complacency if they are to pick up the win.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Adelaide to be winning at HT and FT$1.22
Bet365 LogoTaylor Walker First Goal Scorer$6.00
Unibet LogoTotal Points – Under 173.5$1.71

Predicted Squads

Adelaide CrowsAdelaide: Ben Keays, Brodie Smith, Chayce Jones, Darcy Fogarty, Izak Rankine, Jake Soligo, Jordan Dawson, Jordon Butts, Josh Rachele, Josh Worrell, Lachlan Murphy, Lachlan Sholl, Luke Pedlar, Max Michalanney, Mitchell Hinge, Nick Murray, Reilly O'Brien, Riley Thilthorpe, Rory Laird, Rory Sloane, Taylor Walker, Wayne Milera.

North MelbourneNorth Melbourne: Aidan Corr, Bailey Scott, Ben McKay, C. Coleman-Jones, Cameron Zurhaar, Eddie Ford, George Wardlaw, Griffin Logue, Harry Sheezel, Hugh Greenwood, Jack Ziebell, Jaidyn Stephenson, Jy Simpkin, Liam Shiels, Luke McDonald, Nick Larkey, Paul Curtis, Phoenix Spicer, Tarryn Thomas, Todd Goldstein, Tom Powell, Will Phillips.

Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle

Two teams who are looking to break into the playoff mix in Western Bulldogs and Fremantle should be in for a right old ding, dong at Marvel Stadium.

Just one win from their last 4 games has stagnated any progress the Western Bulldogs made early on in the campaign but that victory over North Melbourne last time out should be a confidence boost.

Fremantle meanwhile are a side plagued with inconsistency, epitomised by 2 wins and 2 losses from their last 4 played.

The table doesn’t lie, and this should be a close one to call and it should be a thoroughly entertaining encounter. 

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Total Points – Over 162.5$1.90
Bet365 LogoFirst Scoring Play -Freemantle Goal$3.75
Unibet LogoWestern Bulldogs to win the match$1.44

Predicted Squads

Western BulldogsWestern Bulldogs: Aaron Naughton, Adam Treloar, Alex Keath, Anthony Scott, Bailey Dale, Bailey Smith, Bailey Williams, Caleb Daniel, Cody Weightman, Jack Macrae, Jamarra Ugle-Hagan, Laitham Vandermeer, Liam Jones, Marcus Bontempelli, Mitch Hannan, Oskar Baker, Rhylee West, Rory Lobb, Taylor Duryea, Tim English, Tim O'Brien, Tom Liberatore

Fremantle DockersFremantle: Alex Pearce, Andrew Brayshaw, Brandon Walker, Brennan Cox, Caleb Serong, Ethan Hughes, Hayden Young, Jaeger O'Meara, Jordan Clark, Josh Treacy, Jye Amiss, Lachlan Schultz, Liam Henry, Luke Jackson, Luke Ryan, Matthew Johnson, Michael Walters, Michael Frederick, Nat Fyfe, Neil Erasmus, Sam Switkowski, Sean Darcy.

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Gold Coast vs Collingwood

Table topping Collingwood travel to Gold Coast for what should be an entertaining encounter.

When it comes to putting points on the board, few sides are as entertaining as Gold Coast, and they will be bang up for rattling into Collingwood here.

Just two losses from 14 games played tells the story for Collingwood, who along with Port Adelaide have been the outstanding team in the AFL this season.

This should be a classic but betting against Collingwood on current form does not seem wise.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Collingwood to win the match$1.55
Bet365 LogoTotal Points – Over 164.5$1.86
Unibet LogoBrody Mihocek First Goal Scorer$7.50

Predicted Squads

Gold Coast SunsGold Coast: Bailey Humphrey, Ben Ainsworth, Ben King, Ben Long, Brandon Ellis, Brayden Fiorini, Charlie Ballard, Darcy MacPherson, David Swallow, Hewego Paul Oea, Jack Lukosius, Jarrod Witts, Lachie Weller, Levi Casboult, Mac Andrew, Malcolm Rosas, Matthew Rowell, Nick Holman, Noah Anderson, Sam Collins, Sam Flanders, Wil Powell.

Collingwood MagpiesCollingwood: Ashley Johnson, Bobby Hill, Brayden Maynard, Brody Mihocek, Darcy Cameron, Darcy Moore, Harvey Harrison, Isaac Quaynor, Jack Crisp, Jamie Elliott, Jeremy Howe, John Noble, Josh Daicos, Mason Cox, Nathan Murphy, Nick Daicos, Oleg Markov, Patrick Lipinski, Scott Pendlebury, Taylor Adams, Tom Mitchell, W. Hoskin-Elliott.

Essendon vs Port Adelaide

Arguably the biggest fixture of the weekend pits Essendon against AFL title chasing Port Adelaide.

Essendon sit 6th in the table and have won 4 of their last five games but their defeat to Fremantle last weekend has checked their progress somewhat.

There have been no such issues for Port Adelaide this season, who keep trundling on in the title race and they know they will need to be at their best here.

Confidence is high in the Port Adelaide camp, and they should have enough to get over the line in this one. 

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Port Adelaide to be winning at HT and FT$1.87
Bet365 LogoPort Adelaide to win the match.$1.52
Unibet LogoTotal Points – Over 169.5$1.90

Predicted Squads

EssendonEssendon: Andrew McGrath, Andrew Phillips, Archie Perkins, Ben Hobbs, B. Zerk-Thatcher, Darcy Parish, Dyson Heppell, Jake Kelly, Jake Stringer, Jayden Laverde, Jordan Ridley, Jye Caldwell, Kyle Langford, Mason Redman, Matt Guelfi, Nic Martin, Nick Bryan, Peter Wright, Sam Durham, Sam Weideman, Will Snelling, Zach Merrett.

Port Adelaide PowerPort Adelaide: Aliir Aliir, Charlie Dixon, Connor Rozee, Dan Houston, Darcy Byrne-Jones, Dylan Williams, J. Horne-Francis, Jed McEntee, Jeremy Finlayson, Josh Sinn, Kane Farrell, Miles Bergman, Ollie Wines, Quinton Narkle, Ryan Burton, Sam Powell-Pepper, Scott Lycett, Todd Marshall, Travis Boak, Trent McKenzie, Willem Drew, Zak Butters.

Hawthorn vs Carlton

A basement battle is on the horizon at the MCG as Hawthorn host Carlton. Both sides have endured rough campaigns and taking on each other here should carry plenty of needle for both sides.

Hawthorn were absolutely thumped by Gold Coast last time out and they need a response here desperately. Carlton meanwhile hammered Goal Coast the week before and perhaps the bye last weekend came at the wrong time for them.

Neither of these two sides are in great nick and it could be a scrappy one, with no love lost. 

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Carlton to win the match$1.40
Bet365 LogoTotal Points – Under $1.52
Unibet LogoTotal Points – Over 167.5$1.76

Predicted Squads

HawthornHawthorn: Blake Hardwick, Cameron Mackenzie, Connor MacDonald, Conor Nash, Dylan Moore, Jack Scrimshaw, Jacob Koschitzke, Jai Newcombe, James Blanck, James Worpel, Jarman Impey, Josh Weddle, Karl Amon, Lachie Bramble, Lloyd Meek, Luke Breust, Mitchell Lewis, Ned Reeves, Sam Frost, Seamus Mitchell, Tyler Brockman, Will Day.

Carlton BluesCarlton: Adam Cerra, Adam Saad, Alex Cincotta, Blake Acres, Brodie Kemp, Charlie Curnow, David Cuningham, Harry McKay, Jack Martin, Jacob Weitering, Jordan Boyd, Lachie Fogarty, Marc Pittonet, Matthew Cottrell, Matthew Kennedy, Matthew Owies, Mitch McGovern, Nic Newman, Paddy Dow, Patrick Cripps, Sam Docherty, Sam Walsh, Tom De Koning.

Melbourne vs Greater Western Sydney

Fourth placed Melbourne take on Greater Western Sydney, with the home side looking to bounce back quickly from a string of poor performances.

Both sides will see this as a real chance to improve their current situations, with Melbourne on the cusp of a title battle and Greater Western Sydney eager to pull away from a basement battle.

Home advantage will of course be key for a Melbourne side that have plenty of attacking talent but completely writing off Greater Western Sydney wouldn’t be the wisest thing to do.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
Melbourne to win the match$1.31
Bet365 LogoMelbourne to be winning at HT and FT$1.55
Unibet LogoBayley Fritsch First Goal Scorer$6.50

Predicted Squads

Melbourne DemonsMelbourne: Alex Neal-Bullen, Angus Brayshaw, Bayley Fritsch, Brodie Grundy, Christian Petracca, Christian Salem, Ed Langdon, Harrison Petty, Jack Viney, Jacob Van Rooyen, Jake Lever, James Jordon, Joel Smith, Judd McVee, Kade Chandler, Kysaiah Pickett, Lachie Hunter, Max Gawn, Michael Hibberd, Steven May, Tom Sparrow, Trent Rivers

GWS GiantsGreater Western Sydney: Aaron Cadman, Callan Ward, Callum M Brown, Connor Idun, Daniel Lloyd, Finn Callaghan, H. Himmelberg, Harry Perryman, Jack Buckley, Jake Riccardi, Josh Kelly, Kieren Briggs, Lachie Ash, Lachie Whitfield, Lachlan Keeffe, Nick Haynes, Sam Taylor, Stephen Coniglio, Toby Bedford, Toby Greene, Tom Green, Xavier O'Halloran.

West Coast vs St Kilda

It has been a chastening campaign so far for West Coast, who find themselves cut way adrift at the bottom of the AFL table.

Things are not about to get easier for them, as they welcome a St Kilda side that reside in 5th place and who are looking to find form with the business end of the season very much approaching.

West Coast have conceded the best part of 400 points in their last two games and St Kilda will be licking their lips at the prospect of plenty of attacking footy here at Optus Stadium.

BookmakerSam’s TipOdds
St Kilda to win the match$1.06
Bet365 LogoSt Kilda 49–60-point winning margin$5.00
Unibet LogoMax King First Goal Scorer$6.00

Predicted Squads

West Coast EaglesWest Coast: Alex Witherden, Andrew Gaff, Bailey J. Williams, Brady Hough, Dom Sheed, Elijah Hewett, Elliot Yeo, Jack Darling, Jack Petruccelle, Jack Williams, Jayden Hunt, Liam Duggan, Luke Edwards, Luke Shuey, Noah Long, Oscar Allen, Reuben Ginbey, Rhett Bazzo, Ryan Maric, S. Petrevski-Seton, Thomas Barrass, Tim Kelly.

St KildaSt Kilda: Anthony Caminiti, Ben Paton, Brad Crouch, Bradley Hill, Callum Wilkie, Dan Butler, Dougal Howard, Jack Higgins, Jack Sinclair, Jack Steele, Jade Gresham, Jimmy Webster, Josh Battle, Liam Stocker, Marcus Windhager, Mason Wood, Mattaes Phillipou, Max King, Mitchito Owens, N. Wanganeen-Milera, Rowan Marshall, Ryan Byrnes.

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