Narratives are unravelling at both ends of the 2024 AFL table with just 4 games played for most sides. Unbeaten teams and winless franchises are lined up in equal measure, as the cut and thrust of the season really starts to get underway.
Match day 5 promises plenty of drama once more, with huge games attracting plenty of traction from both punters and AFL betting sites alike.
| Fixtures | Info (AEST) | Home Odds | Away Odds |
| Melbourne vs Brisbane | MCG, 11th April, 19:30 | $1.44 | $2.88 |
| Western Bulldogs vs Essendon | Marvel Stadium, 12th April, 17:30 | $1.45 | $2.90 |
| Western Bulldogs vs Essendon | Manuka Oval, 13th April, 14.45 | $1.33 | $3.50 |
| Carlton vs Adelaide | Marvel Stadium, 13th April, 17:35 | $1.29 | $4.00 |
| Gold Coast vs Hawthorn | Heritage Bank Stadium, 13th April, 19:30 | $1.25 | $4.20 |
| Port Adelaide vs Fremantle | Adelaide Oval, 13th April, 19:30 | $1.36 | $3.50 |
| Geelong vs North Melbourne | GMHBA, 14th April, 16:00 | $1.04 | $12.00 |
| West Coast vs Richmond | Optus Stadium, 14th April, 19:00 | $3.40 | $3.60 |
The Brisbane Lions have endured an awful start to the 2024 AFL season, and they will be desperate to pick up their second win of the campaign here against Melbourne. A task that is much easier said than done however, with Melbourne having won 4 of their opening 5 games and having moved into a position to challenge for championship glory in the eyes of many AFL betting sites.
This should be a fantastic contest, between two sides that will firmly believe they can be in the hunt come the post season and it could be home advantage that tips this in the direction of Melbourne.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
 | Total Points – Over 158.5 | $1.85 |
 | Winning Margin: Melbourne 1-12 | $5.00 |
 | Melbourne to win the match | $1.44 |
Melbourne: Alex Neal-Bullen, Angus Brayshaw, Bayley Fritsch, Brodie Grundy, Christian Petracca, Christian Salem, Ed Langdon, Harrison Petty, Jack Viney, Jacob Van Rooyen, Jake Lever, James Jordon, Joel Smith, Judd McVee, Kade Chandler, Kysaiah Pickett, Lachie Hunter, Max Gawn, Michael Hibberd, Steven May, Tom Sparrow, Trent Rivers.
Brisbane: Brandon Starcevich, Cameron Rayner, Charlie Cameron, Conor McKenna, Darcy Wilmot, Deven Robertson, Eric Hipwood, Harris Andrews, Hugh McCluggage, Jack Payne, Jarrod Berry, Joe Daniher, Josh Dunkley, Lachie Neale, Lincoln McCarthy, Oscar McInerney, Ryan Lester, Zac Bailey.
Two sides with identical records with 4 games played meet here, as the Western Bulldogs take on Essendon. The Bulldogs have produced some excellent performances this term, without necessarily picking up the points they would have hoped for and they are firmly in top 8 contention this term with many punters and small betting sites. The same could be said about Essendon, who are a very physical side, but they can lack consistency in key areas. This is a very tight one to call but Western Bulldogs are a shrewd outfit, and they could pick up a home win in this one
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Total Points – Over 155.5 | $1.85 |
| Winning Margin: Western Bulldogs 1-12 | $6.50 |
| Western Bulldogs to win the match | $1.45 |
Western Bulldogs: Aaron Naughton, Adam Treloar, Alex Keath, Anthony Scott, Bailey Dale, Bailey Smith, Bailey Williams, Caleb Daniel, Cody Weightman, Jack Macrae, Jamarra Ugle-Hagan, Laitham Vandermeer, Liam Jones, Marcus Bontempelli, Mitch Hannan, Oskar Baker, Rhylee West, Rory Lobb, Taylor Duryea, Tim English, Tim O'Brien, Tom Liberatore.
Essendon: Andrew McGrath, Andrew Phillips, Archie Perkins, Ben Hobbs, B. Zerk-Thatcher, Darcy Parish, Dyson Heppell, Jake Kelly, Jake Stringer, Jayden Laverde, Jordan Ridley, Jye Caldwell, Kyle Langford, Mason Redman, Matt Guelfi, Nic Martin, Nick Bryan, Peter Wright, Sam Durham, Sam Weideman, Will Snelling, Zach Merrett.
It has been a dream start to the 2024 campaign for the GWS Giants and they will be hoping to kick on here against St Kilda. With the points rolling in for GWS, they are playing with complete confidence currently and they will have a real crack at St Kilda here. The Saints are a strong outfit in 2024 though and they won’t wilt at all in Sydney. That said, the GWS Giants do look to have the bit between their teeth currently and they could have too much in the tank for St Kilda here.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Jesse Hogan – First Goal Scorer | $10.00 |
| GWS Giants to win the match. | $1.33 |
| Total Points – Over 161.5 | $1.85 |
Greater Western Sydney: Aaron Cadman, Callan Ward, Callum M Brown, Connor Idun, Daniel Lloyd, Finn Callaghan, H. Himmelberg, Harry Perryman, Jack Buckley, Jake Riccardi, Josh Kelly, Jesse Hogan, Kieren Briggs, Lachie Ash, Lachie Whitfield, Lachlan Keeffe, Nick Haynes, Sam Taylor, Stephen Coniglio, Toby Bedford, Toby Greene, Tom Green, Xavier O'Halloran
St Kilda: 1Anthony Caminiti, Ben Paton, Brad Crouch, Bradley Hill, Callum Wilkie, Dan Butler, Dougal Howard, Jack Higgins, Jack Sinclair, Jack Steele, Jade Gresham, Jimmy Webster, Josh Battle, Liam Stocker, Marcus Windhager, Mason Wood, Mattaes Phillipou, Max King, Mitchito Owens, N. Wanganeen-Milera, Rowan Marshall, Ryan Byrnes.
Two sides having very different starts to the season square off here. Carlton are pushing hard to finish as high up the league table and with 4 wins from their opening 4 games, they are being tipped to go deep this season with many AFL betting sites. Next up is an intriguing battle with the Adelaide Crows, a side that are much better than what they are showing currently and who have lost all of their opening 4 games. This will be Carlton’s to lose at home and they could pick up another impressive win.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Total Points – Over 165.5 | $1.75 |
| Winning Margin: Carlton 13-24 | $6.50 |
| Carlton to win the match | $1.29 |
Carlton: Adam Cerra, Adam Saad, Alex Cincotta, Blake Acres, Brodie Kemp, Charlie Curnow, David Cuningham, Harry McKay, Jack Martin, Jacob Weitering, Jordan Boyd, Lachie Fogarty, Marc Pittonet, Matthew Cottrell, Matthew Kennedy, Matthew Owies, Mitch McGovern, Nic Newman, Paddy Dow, Patrick Cripps, Sam Docherty, Sam Walsh, Tom De Koning.
Adelaide: Ben Keays, Brodie Smith, Chayce Jones, Darcy Fogarty, Izak Rankine, Jake Soligo, Jordan Dawson, Jordon Butts, Josh Rachele, Josh Worrell, Lachlan Murphy, Lachlan Sholl, Luke Pedlar, Max Michalanney, Mitchell Hinge, Nick Murray, Reilly O'Brien, Riley Thilthorpe, Rory Laird, Rory Sloane, Taylor Walker, Wayne Milera.
Hawthorn are still awaiting their first win of the 2024 AFL season and next up is a tricky-looking tie to the Gold Coast. For the hosts, building on their decent start to the season will be their ultimate objective, as they look to force their way into the playoff picture once again this season. Hawthorn’s problems have been well-documented, and they look to be a side very low on confidence. Consequently, Gold Coast are the firm favourites for this one and they should pick up an important home win.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Gold Coast to win the match | $1.25 |
| Total Points – Under 175.5 | $1.81 |
| Winning Margin: Gold Coast 13-24 | $6.50 |
Gold Coast: Bailey Humphrey, Ben Ainsworth, Ben King, Ben Long, Brandon Ellis, Brayden Fiorini, Charlie Ballard, Darcy MacPherson, David Swallow, Hewego Paul Oea, Jack Lukosius, Jarrod Witts, Lachie Weller, Levi Casboult, Mac Andrew, Malcolm Rosas, Matthew Rowell, Nick Holman, Noah Anderson, Sam Collins, Sam Flanders, Wil Powell.
Hawthorn: Blake Hardwick, Cameron Mackenzie, Connor MacDonald, Conor Nash, Dylan Moore, Jack Scrimshaw, Jacob Koschitzke, Jai Newcombe, James Blanck, James Worpel, Jarman Impey, Josh Weddle, Karl Amon, Lachie Bramble, Lloyd Meek, Luke Breust, Mitchell Lewis, Ned Reeves, Sam Frost, Seamus Mitchell, Tyler Brockman, Will Day.
It is 6th against 7th in the AFL table here, as Port Adelaide take on Fremantle. Port have won 3 of their opening 4 games without pulling up any trees and they will want to keep delivering the results in the early part of the campaign. Fremantle had their bubble popped a little against Carlton last time out, but they remain a very dangerous side, who could very easily be in the hunt for a top 8 finish this season. Most AFL betting sites are logically backing Port Adelaide here but Fremantle are playing well, and they could be ready to cause an upset on their travels.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Fremantle to win the match | $3.50 |
| Winning Margin: Fremantle 1-12 | $5.50 |
| Total Points – Over 164.5 | $1.85 |
Port Adelaide: Aliir Aliir, Charlie Dixon, Connor Rozee, Dan Houston, Darcy Byrne-Jones, Dylan Williams, J. Horne-Francis, Jed McEntee, Jeremy Finlayson, Josh Sinn, Kane Farrell, Miles Bergman, Ollie Wines, Quinton Narkle, Ryan Burton, Sam Powell-Pepper, Scott Lycett, Todd Marshall, Travis Boak, Trent McKenzie, Willem Drew, Zak Butters
Fremantle: Alex Pearce, Andrew Brayshaw, Brandon Walker, Brennan Cox, Caleb Serong, Ethan Hughes, Hayden Young, Jaeger O'Meara, Jordan Clark, Josh Treacy, Jye Amiss, Lachlan Schultz, Liam Henry, Luke Jackson, Luke Ryan, Matthew Johnson, Michael Walters, Michael Frederick, Nat Fyfe, Neil Erasmus, Sam Switkowski, Sean Darcy.
The Geelong juggernaut will be looking to rumble on in pursuit of their 100% winning record, as they welcome North Melbourne. Geelong have been in superb form throughout 2024 and they will be feeling very confident that they can extend their winning run to start the season to 5. North Melbourne meanwhile are a side that have endured a tough time once again this season and a wooden spoon scrap looks to be on the cards. This will be one-way traffic here, with Geelong ready to pick up another important win.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Geelong to win the match | $1.04 |
| Total Points – Over 178.5 | $1.85 |
| Tom Hawkins First Goal Scorer | $7.50 |
Geelong: Bradley Close, Gary Rohan, Isaac Smith, Jack Bowes, Jack Henry, Jake Kolodjashnij, Jed Bews, Jeremy Cameron, Max Holmes, Mitch Duncan, Sam De Koning, Tom Atkins, Tom Hawkins, Tom Stewart, Tyson Stengle, Zach Guthrie, Zach Tuohy
North Melbourne: Aidan Corr, Bailey Scott, Ben McKay, C. Coleman-Jones, Cameron Zurhaar, Eddie Ford, George Wardlaw, Griffin Logue, Harry Sheezel, Hugh Greenwood, Jack Ziebell, Jaidyn Stephenson, Jy Simpkin, Liam Shiels, Luke McDonald, Nick Larkey, Paul Curtis, Phoenix Spicer, Tarryn Thomas, Todd Goldstein, Tom Powell, Will Phillips.
With just one win between them this season, the prospect of West Coast and Richmond doing battle looks to be a bit of a sorry story. West Coast sit bottom of the pack, having been thumped in all 4 of their games played this term and they know that they are in for a tough time here against Richmond. The visitors have been poor this season, with just 1 win from 5 played but they need some points here and this could be a bit of a catalyst for them this season.
| Bookmaker | Sam’s Tip | Odds |
| Richmond to win the match | $1.36 |
| Total Points – Over 161.5 | $1.70 |
| Shai Bolton First Goal Scorer | $9.00 |
West Coast: Alex Witherden, Andrew Gaff, Bailey J. Williams, Brady Hough, Dom Sheed, Elijah Hewett, Elliot Yeo, Jack Darling, Jack Petruccelle, Jack Williams, Jayden Hunt, Liam Duggan, Luke Edwards, Luke Shuey, Noah Long, Oscar Allen, Reuben Ginbey, Rhett Bazzo, Ryan Maric, S. Petrevski-Seton, Thomas Barrass, Tim Kelly.
Richmond: Daniel Rioli, Dustin Martin, Dylan Grimes, Hugo Ralphsmith, Jack Graham, Jack Riewoldt, Jack Ross, Jayden Short, Judson Clarke, Kamdyn McIntosh, Liam Baker, Nathan Broad, Nick Vlastuin, Noah Balta, Samson Ryan, Tim Taranto, Toby Nankervis, Trent Cotchin.
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