EPL 2024/25 Preview & Betting Tips: Matchday 38

Though the title and the three teams set to be relegated have long been decided, the 2024-25 Premier League season is still set to come down to the wire. Liverpool and Arsenal have secured Champions League spots already, but there are five teams to fit into three spots below them; Man City on 68 points, each of Newcastle, Chelsea and Aston Villa on 66 points, and Nottingham Forest on 65 points. That battle will be where the attention of the football world will be directed this weekend, with the importance of the 38th game of the season compared to the relative lack thereof for other teams influencing a lot of our EPL tips. So without further ado, let’s dive right into those EPL predictions for the final ten games of the season.

Fulham have not had the best time of things since their impressive defeat of Liverpool a couple of months ago, a result which seemingly put them in calculations to compete for a spot in Europe next season. Instead they went and lost four of their next five games, but they gave their fans something to cheer about last weekend when they found the net three times en route to a 3-2 defeat of Brentford in an entertaining game. That result won’t have much tangible impact of anything though, and it may well be their last of the season.

In contrast to the home team, Manchester City has plenty riding on this game, but courtesy of a 3-1 win over Bournemouth on Tuesday night their Champions League hopes now rest in their own hands. They are now two points clear of three teams below them and three points clear of Nottingham Forest in 7th, and with Forest playing Chelsea it’s not possible for all four of those teams to surpass City. But with Newcastle and Villa both favoured to win their games, a Manchester City loss in this game means a slip down to 6th is absolutely on the cards. Even if they draw, however, they will be safe by virtue of their goal difference, so don’t expect them to be playing with too much risk. This is one of many massive games on the final day of the Premier League season, and with so much on the line for the visitors, they can surely come away with the three points.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Manchester City to win	$1.60
	Under 3.5 goals	$1.60
	Fulham to score 0 goals	$2.80

Predicted Lineups

Fulham

• GK Bernd Leno
• DL A. Robinson
• DC J. Andersen
• DC C. Bassey
• DR Kenny Tete
• DMC Sander Berge
• DMC Sasa Lukic
• AML Alex Iwobi
• AMC Harry Wilson
• AMR Adama Traore
• FW Raul Jimenez

Manchester City

• GK Ederson
• DL N. O'Reilly
• DC Ruben Dias
• DC J. Gvardiol
• DR M. Akanji
• DMC B. Silva
• DMC K. De Bruyne
• AML Jeremy Doku
• AMC O. Marmoush
• AMR Savinho
• FW E. Haaland

This is another massive game on the last season, and somewhat unusually it’s because of the situation in which Aston Villa finds themselves rather than that of Manchester United. Man U’s season has long been over, at least from a Premier League perspective, and all of their focus will be on Thursday’s Europa League Final against Tottenham. This game, a few days later and with nothing riding on it, will be a long way behind that final on their list of priorities.

Not so for Villa. Entering the final Matchday they find themselves in 6th and out of a Champion’s League spot on goal difference alone, but tied on points with 5th and 4th and just two points back from Man City in 3rd they are every chance of working their way into that much coveted top five. If they win, all they need is one of Newcastle or Chelsea to either draw or lose, or Man City to lose. If they draw, they will need Newcastle to lose to make it, which is unlikely given their matchup. Bascally, a win gives them a great chance of qualifying for the Champions League; anything else and they will likely miss. They come into this game having won eight of their last nine Premier League games, and against a Manchester United team with not much interest in it, the visitors should be able to do their bit and get the win.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Aston Villa to win	$1.72
	Aston Villa/Aston Villa half-time/full-time	$2.70
	Manchester United to score 0 goals	$3.00

Predicted Lineups

Manchester United

• GK A. Bayindir
• DC T. Fredricson
• DC Ayden Heaven
• DC Luke Shaw
• ML Harry Amass
• MC K. Mainoo
• MC M. Ugarte
• MR Amad Diallo
• AMC C. Eriksen
• AMC Mason Mount
• FW C. Obi-Martin

Aston ViIlla

• GK E. Martinez
• DL Lucas Digne
• DC Tyrone Mings
• DC Ezri Konsa
• DR Matty Cash
• DMC Amadou Onana
• DMC B. Kamara
• AML John McGinn 
• AMC M. Asensio
• AMR M. Rogers
• FW O. Watkins

Unlike the above two, there is not a whole lot riding on this game and very little attention will be paid to it outside of fans of the two involved teams – and even they might not be that interested. Bournemouth have had a solid enough season but have slipped a little over the past couple of months, joining a logjam of teams a long way back from the runaway top seven in the middle parts of the table. Prior to their last game they had actually won or drawn five games in a row, but that run ended with a 1-0 loss to Aston Villa. They should, however, have no problems getting back on the winners’ list this week.

It's been a tough season for Leicester City in the top tier, and they’ll be promptly sent back to the Championship after this game following a season in which they have so far managed six wins, seven draws and 24 losses. They had a really grim couple of months during which they didn’t score a single goal earlier in the year – a trend which yielded plenty of success for us from a multi betting perspective – but at least they’ve given fans something to be happy about with two wins and a draw from their last three games. They’re playing with a little more flair now than they have been, but this should still be a win for Bournemouth to end their season.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Both teams to score – Yes	$1.70
	Leicester City +1.5	$1.77
	Bournemouth 2-1 correct score	$7.50

Predicted Lineups

Bournemouth

• GK K. Arrizabalaga
• DL Milos Kerkez
• DC I. Zabarnyi
• DC M. Senesi
• DR Adam Smith
• DMC Tyler Adams
• DMC B. Winterburn
• AML A. Semenyo
• AMC J. Kluivert
• AMR M. Tavernier
• FW Evanilson

Leicester City

• GK J. Stolarczyk
• DL Luke Thomas
• DC Wout Faes
• DC Conor Coady
• DR James Justin
• DMC W. Ndidi
• DMC B. Soumare
• AML B. El Khannouss
• AMC Jordan Ayew
• AMR K. McAteer
• FW Patson Daka

Both Tottenham and Brighton and Hove Albion will end their 2024-25 campaigns in one of the few matches this Matchweek without much riding on it. Neither of them will achieve anything but pride from winning this match; for Tottenham, three points could potentially see them jump from 17th up a spot or two, but their attention over the last week of the season will be firmly focused on Thursday’s Europa League Final against Manchester United, after which celebrations will certainly follow if they win.

Brighton, meanwhile, has disappointingly failed to make a play on a spot in Europe courtesy of a poor run of form a couple of months ago, but they have shown plenty of mental fortitude to respond and run out their season in strong fashion regardless. They’ve won three and drawn one of their last four, the latest of which was a come-from-behind 2-1 victory over the champions-to-be in Liverpool, who have admittedly thrown in the towel with the title already wrapped up. Still, Brighton have been in good form and Tottenham will be likely recovering from a big couple of days following the Europa League Final, so the visitors look a good chance to end their season with a win here.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Brighton and Hove Albion to win	$1.88
	Both teams to score – No	$3.10
	Brighton and Hove Albion -1.5	$3.10

Predicted Lineups

Tottenham

• GK A. Kinsky
• DL S. Reguilon
• DC Ben Davies
• DC Kevin Danso
• DR Djed Spence
• DMC Pape Sarr
• DMC Archie Gray
• AML Son Heung-Min
• AMC W. Odobert
• AMR Mikey Moore
• FW Mathys Tel

Brighton and Hove Albion

• GK B. Verbruggen
• DL P. Estupinan
• DC Lewis Dunk
• DC J. van Hecke
• DR Mats Wieffer
• DMC Carlos Baleba
• DMC Yasin Ayari
• AML Kaoru Mitoma
• AMC Brajan Gruda
• AMR Y. Minteh
• FW D. Welbeck

Another inconsequential game in the Premier League’s season last lot of games will see the 19th placed Ipswich Town take on West Ham, who sit snugly a few spots ahead with their spot in the league next season safely secured. For Ipswich Town, of course, this will be their last game of top-tier football until at least 2026, with a trip back to the Championship having long been secured in a season which has to this point yielded four wins from 37 games.

West Ham have had a pretty dour season, never looking likely to be relegated given the gap between the bottom three and the rest but not good enough to do any damage either. They’ve barely had a game for months which has been decided by more than a goal either way, and that might continue in this one. They should be able to account for Ipswich Town, but they are not exactly the kind of team to pound poor opposition into the ground. A low-scoring, one-goal win could be on the cards here.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	West Ham to win	$2.20
	Under 3.5	$1.65
	West Ham 1-0 correct score	$11.00

Predicted Lineups

Ipswich Town

• GK Alex Palmer
• DL Leif Davis
• DC Dara O'Shea
• DC J. Greaves
• DR A. Tuanzebe
• DMC Sam Morsy
• DMC Jens Cajuste
• AML Jack Clarke
• AMC Julio Enciso
• AMR O. Hutchinson
• FW George Hirst

West Ham

• GK A. Areola
• DC J. Todibo
• DC Max Kilman
• DC A. Cresswell
• ML A. Wan-Bissaka
• MC G. Rodriguez
• MC J. Ward-Prowse
• MR V. Coufal
• AMC Tomas Soucek
• FW M. Kudus
• FW Jarrod Bowen

Newcastle had a gilt-edged opportunity to secure their Champions League spot last weekend, though up against the second-placed Arsenal it was never going to be easy. And so it proved. In a hard-fought and extremely tight game, Declan Rice managed the only goal in the 55th minute of the game, resigning Newcastle to their first loss in a month and putting their Champions League hopes in jeopardy. But they remain in control of their own destiny. As it stands they sit in 4th spot, ahead of Chelsea and Aston Villa on goal difference alone, but that may come in handy. Courtesy of that goal difference, a win here means they will 100% finish top five; a draw means they still could but probably won’t, and a loss means they still could but very likely won’t. Confusing, right?

Everton, meanwhile, well – no one is that concerned about how this game affects them, because it doesn’t really at all. They’ve had a tough season but have had some good patches, with one of their best moments coming last week when they said farewell to Goodison Park with a 2-0 victory. After that emotional high it’s hard to imagine them playing with the same vigour with nothing on the line this week, not that it would necessarily change anything anyway. Newcastle is a much better team and extremely hard to even get close to at St. James Park, and should secure their Champions League spot with a win.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Over 2.5 goals	$1.55
	Newcastle -1.5	$2.00
	Newcastle/Newcastle half-time/full-time	$1.98

Predicted Lineups

Newcastle

• GK Nick Pope
• DC Dan Burn
• DC Fabian Schar
• DC Sven Botman
• ML V. Livramento
• MC S. Tonali
• MC Bruno Guimaraes
• MR Jacob Murphy
• AMC H. Barnes
• AMC A. Gordon
• FW C. Wilson

Everton

• GK J. Pickford
• DL V. Mykolenko
• DC Jake O'Brien
• DC M. Keane
• DR Ashley Young
• DMC I. Gueye
• DMC James Garner
• AML I. Ndiaye
• AMC A. Doucoure
• AMR D. McNeil
• FW Beto

This is not quite as significant a game as some of the others, with the 14th placed Wolverhampton taking on the 9th placed Brentford with nothing really on the line. The Wolves will be pleased to have avoided relegation very comfortably after toying with the bottom three a couple of months ago, though their six-game winning streak through March and April is a distant memory now after three consecutive losses.

Brentford, meanwhile, were flying after four consecutive wins prior to last weekend, and while it doesn’t mean anything in the grand scheme of things it will certainly see them end the season with their tails high in the air and the hope of better things to come next season. That run came to an end last weekend when they lost 3-2, but that continued a high-scoring run nwhich has seen them score 13 goals in their last five games. With Wolverhampton having conceded 4 and 2 in their last couple of games there could be a few goals in this one too. With Brentford finishing the season far stronger than the Wolves, they can notch up another win in this one.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Brentford to win	$2.30
	Over 3.5 goals	$2.30
	Both teams to score – Yes	$1.45

Predicted Lineups

Wolverhampton

• GK Jose Sa
• DC Matt Doherty
• DC Toti Gomes
• DC E. Agbadou
• ML R. Ait-Nouri
• MC Joao Gomes
• MC Andre
• MR N. Semedo
• AMC Matheus Cunha
• AMC M. Munetsi
• FW J. Strand Larsen

Brentford

• GK Mark Flekken
• DL K. Lewis-Potter
• DC N. Collins
• DC S. van den Berg
• DR K. Ajer
• DMC C. Norgaard
• DMC Y. Yarmolyuk
• AML Kevin Schade
• AMC M. Damsgaard
• AMR Bryan Mbeumo
• FW Yoane Wissa

Of all the big games on Matchday 38, this might be the biggest. It’s the solitary clash in which two of the five teams fighting for three Champions League spots go head to head, and the ramifications go beyond just these two teams. For Chelsea the equation is relatively simple; their 1-0 defeat of Manchester United last weekend means that win and they’re in, with a far superior goal difference to Aston Villa meaning they won’t be able to catch them. Draw, however, and they can still make it but need either one of Newcastle or Aston Villa to lose, or for Aston Villa to draw.

Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, will not make it in the case of a draw, so a win is their only option. If they do get the three points they’ll scoot past Chelsea, but they need to scoot past one other to qualify for Champions League, which means they need to not only get the three points themselves, but hope that either Newcastle or Aston Villa either draws or loses. That one-point gap between them and 4th-6th is a mammoth mountain to climb at this point and they will be ruing their 1-1 draw against Leicester City a fortnight ago, but that was symptomatic of the fact that they are a notch below the other teams fighting for top five spots at the moment. They are not without a chance in this one, but their form is not good. Even the visitors won’t want to risk a draw so expect them to go all out to win it, but if they score first expect them to lock down in a big way, making the correct score below one of the best value EPL tips for the weekend at close to $10 with some international betting sites. They should be expecting to get the job done to secure their spot in the top five.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Chelsea to win	$2.08
	Under 2.5 goals	$2.10
	Chelsea 1-0 correct score	$8.50

Predicted Lineups

Nottingham Forest

• GK Matz Sels
• DL N. Williams
• DC N. Milenkovic
• DC Murillo
• DR Ola Aina
• DMC I. Sangare
• DMC N. Dominguez
• AML E. Anderson
• AMC M. Gibbs-White
• AMR A. Elanga
• FW Chris Wood

Chelsea

• GK R. Sanchez
• DL M. Cucurella
• DC T. Adarabioyo
• DC Levi Colwill
• DR Reece James
• DMC E. Fernandez
• DMC M. Caicedo
• AML Noni Madueke
• AMC Cole Palmer
• AMR Pedro Neto
• FW T. George

After having lost just two of their first 34 games, to go with seven draws and a whopping 25 wins, Liverpool have lost two and drawn one of their last three since officially securing this season’s title, so it’s safe to say that they’ve checked out. But they will be gearing up to celebrate the actual end of the season this weekend, and will surely want to finish it off with a victory. Clearly they will celebrate regardless and might not be that bothered either way, but a winless final month would be something they’d no doubt prefer to avoid if they can.

But Crystal Palace is actually playing reasonably well of late. After conceding five goals in consecutive weeks to first Man City then Newcastle, they haven’t lost in their last five games and have won their last two, last weekend beating Wolverhampton 4-2. That’s taken their season record to a respectable 13-13-11, and with the Reds not playing remotely like themselves in recent weeks, the visitors aren’t without a chance here. But at Anfield in front of what will be a giddy crowd, expect the home team to find that little something they need to end another title-winning season with a victory.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Over 3.5 goals	$1.88
	Both teams to score – Yes	$1.52
	Liverpool 3 goals or more	$1.90

Predicted Lineups

Liverpool

• GK Alisson
• DL A. Robertson
• DC V. van Dijk
• DC J. Quansah
• DR C. Bradley
• DMC Curtis Jones
• DMC Wataru Endo
• AML Luis Diaz
• AMC H. Elliott
• AMR M. Salah
• FW Diogo Jota

Crystal Palace

• GK D. Henderson
• DC C. Richards
• DC J. Lerma
• DC M. Lacroix
• ML T. Mitchell
• MC D. Kamada
• MC Will Hughes
• MR Daniel Munoz
• AMC Eberechi Eze
• AMC Ismaila Sarr
• FW J. Mateta

After a little bit of a scare, Arsenal officially secured a spot in next year’s Champion’s League with a strong 1-0 win over an in-form Newcastle last weekend, a result which ensured that they will finish 2nd this season. Even had they not won that game they likely would have been safe given that their opposition this weekend, but they will be pleased to have made it a mathematical certainty. And while that means they don’t have anything riding on this game, they should nonetheless have no issues disposing of the worst team in the league.

Southampton’s trip to the Premier League has been a short one, and they have been unable to take their game to the level required to be competitive in the top team. 37 games into the season they have managed just two wins and six draws to go with their 29 losses, and it’s hard to see them avoiding a 30th loss in this one. Neither team has much reason to be motivated for this one, but the Gunners could win this one by a couple of goals in their sleep.

Bookmaker	Tip	Odds
	Arsenal -1.5	$1.67
	Arsenal 2-0 correct score	$6.75
	Southampton to score 0 goals	$2.10

Predicted Lineups

Southampton

• GK A. Ramsdale
• DC Nathan Wood
• DC J. Kayi Sanda
• DC J. Stephens
• ML Welington
• MC Flynn Downes
• MC Joe Aribo
• MR James Bree
• AMC T. Dibling
• AMC Mateus Fernandes
• FW K. Sulemana

Arsenal

• GK David Raya
• DL M. Lewis-Skelly
• DC R. Calafiori
• DC Jakub Kiwior
• DR Ben White
• MC Declan Rice
• MC M. Odegaard
• MC T. Partey
• FWL G. Martinelli
• FWR Bukayo Saka
• FW Mikel Merino

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